Financial Outlook of Bitcoin For 2017
2017
will be upon us soon enough, so it should come as no surprise that many bitcoin
experts are looking ahead to the upcoming year. Given that bitcoin has built in
features to encourage its price to rise over time, and given the growing
acceptance of both non-government currencies and digital currencies, there are
plenty of reasons to be optimistic.
Understanding
the anti-inflationary features of bitcoin is essential to understanding its
price. Bitcoin’s price back in May weighed in at “only” about $450. In the run
up to the new supply for mined blocks being cut in
half bitcoin’s price began to rise, breaking the $750 mark in mid
June. Bitcoin’s price has declined a bit since, but is still about $600, far
higher than it was earlier this year.
The
Bitcoin reward for mining won’t be halved until early July in 2020. Regardless,
the bitcoin’s price will likely continue to trend up through 2017. This doesn’t
mean that bitcoin won’t suffer setbacks, but the overall trend line will likely
point up through 2017.
Bitcoin Use Likely To Increase Dramatically in 2017
Juniper
Research, a respected research firm, predicts that bitcoin transactions will triple in 2017,
reaching $92 billion dollars. Juniper notes several factors that should
encourage the increased adoption of bitcoin in 2016 and through 2017, including
the fragility of the Chinese economy, the Brexit vote and on-going issues in
Europe, including high unemployment and bad public finances, and numerous other
issues.
As
national governments continue to struggle and the global economy is exposed to
high risks, it’s likely that an increasing number of people will look to
bitcoin and other alternative currencies/investments. Bitcoin has taken on the
mantle of a “safe haven” investment, due to the fact that it is free from
government interference, and that supply is limited. Governments can increase
money supply at pretty much any whim, thereby decreasing the individual value
currency units. Bitcoin’s supply, on the other hand, is already set and cannot
be changed.
If
the global market grows more turbulent in the months ahead (which is quite
likely), people may start ditching their traditional currencies in favor of
bitcoin. This will lead to increased use of bitcoin, and as more people use the
currency, demand for it will rise, and prices along with it.
Bitcoin Price Predictions for 2017
Daniel
Masters, a co-founder at the multi-million dollar bitcoin hedge fund, predicts that bitcoin will hit $4,400 by the end of 2017.
Masters believes that bitcoin adoption will continue to increase, and more
companies will accept it as payment. This increased adoption will be
propelled investments in blockchain
technology.
Alan
Donohoe, the founder of the Bitcoin Association of Ireland, made a more down to earth prediction earlier this year,
suggesting that bitcoin will rise to about the 800 pound mark. This would put
bitcoin up above the $1,000 USD mark, a price point that bitcoin last
approached (and in some cases broke) back in 2013.
SpectroCoin
CEO Vytautas Karalevicius argues that bitcoin transactions will increase 10
times. If this proves to be accurate, Karalevicius believes that bitcoin will
rise to about $1800 to $1900. This is based on the correlation between bitcoin
turnover and price that we’ve generally seen so far.
Banker Predicts $600 for 2016, Doubling in 2017
At
the beginning of the year an analyst with Wedbush Securities, Gil Luria, predicted a price of about $600 in 2016. As of right now,
Luria’s prediction is pretty much spot on as bitcoin has been trending at about
$600 dollars over the past several weeks. Luria believes that bitcoin will
continue to grow as a transaction medium, another prediction that largely
appears to be correct.
For
2017 Luria predicts that bitcoin’s price will once again double. In fact, Luria
believes that bitcoin’s price will essentially double all the way up until 2025,
which would mark an increase of 4,500%! If this prediction turns out to be
correct, investors could generate massive returns.
Three Factors That Could Spur Bitcoin Growth
Vinny
Lingham, the CEO of Civic, predicts that bitcoin could hit $3,000 in 2017. Lingham’s
predictions are especially notable because he’s made a name for himself by
being willing to state contrarian views, and has accurately predicted drops in
bitcoin’s price. Now, however, Lingham believes that the remainder of 2016 and
2017 will be very good years for bitcoin.
Lingham’s
prediction comes down to three factors. First, venture capital investments in
bitcoin and blockchain technology have now topped a billion dollars, and as
more companies invest, use and acceptance of bitcoin will likely increase.
Second, a “short squeeze” may be forming as people who have shorted bitcoin may
be forced to buy bitcoins to repay their short bets. Third, bitcoin will
continue to enjoy natural inflation due to its limited supply.
Lingham
also suggests that an arms race could breakout as governments decide to start
to buy up bitcoin. So far, most governments have shied away from bitcoin, but
as adoption increases, they may get into the game. Go
An Important Caveat: Experts May Make Self Serving
Predictions
Many
of the predictions made above are coming from people who have self-serving interests,
and would benefit greatly if bitcoin suddenly increased dramatically. While
many of the experts may be making honest predictions, we can’t rule out that
some may simply be trying to blow hot air into the market to heat things up.
In
some more extreme cases, “experts” have predicted that bitcoin could hit
$35,000 or more in the near future. This, however, seems unlikely. By making
such huge predictions, however, people can stir up the pot and maybe bolster
markets, all while ensuring that their name gets passed around.
Breaking the $1,000 Dollar Mark Is Very Possible
Most
experts are predicting that bitcoin will break $1,000 in 2017. This would mean that bitcoin’s price may actually double
from where it is trading at right now. Such returns would present an
extraordinary amount of growth. Such returns are also very plausible.
There
are several key factors at play. First, the global economy is on tenuous
grounds, and bitcoin is a safe haven currency/asset. If the global economy does
hit a rough patch, which is very plausible, then bitcoin and other safe haven
assets and currencies will enjoy a boost.
Second,
many governments, including Japan and the Eurozone, have been engaging in
quantitative easing. This means that they are increasing their money supply by
creating money and buying up new assets. This increases inflation and
encourages people to invest in things like bitcoin.
Third,
an increasing number of companies, and especially retailers, are taking
interest in bitcoin. Others are also interesting in blockchain technology. As
interest grows, adoption will spread, and as more people use bitcoin, prices
should increase.
So
while $5,000 and other numbers are perhaps a bit overly optimistic, $1,000
seems very reasonable. And if a major event does unfold, such as a global
recession, or a major company like Amazon announcing that it will accept
bitcoin, who knows those $5,000 dollar predictions might not look so
overzealous after all.
( Text Source:
https://99bitcoins.com, Image Source: http://www.coindesk.com/)
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